Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win- Sun Tzu
Long before Huawei and ZTE took on the world, some 500 years before the birth of Jesus Christ there was a Chinese General called Sun Tzu. His book, the Art of War, has shaped military, business and marketing strategy the world over. Most armies of the world teach his works (including the US army), literally, as textbook material.
Now, I will use some of his quotes to analyze the current Indo Pak conflict (2019) based on a by now questionable Pulwama attack that I already wrote about.
India was gripped in war fever, led by their Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, a man many accuse of genocide, racism and promoting hatred against the majority of Indian minorities be they Muslims, Sikhs, Christians (meat eaters!) or even lower caste Hindus.
Rattled by immense poverty in India or the rape and crimes crisis as per the BBC, all point towards the failure of the Modi Government in bringing India out of anything but rhetoric. His detractors claim the entire Pulwama attack where 40 CRPF soldier was an inside job to use the Indian Army to gain support for Modi’s re election campaign above all.
“All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when we are able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must appear inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.”
While India bombed barren fields & mountains in Balakot claiming it hit “terrorist camps“, Pakistan, on the other hand, I’m privy to an internal military conversation someone shared on social media, went right into the heart of Indian Military Complex and dropped ammo at a safe distance delivering the message that “we can do what we want, when we want, how we want” to their apparently larger adversaries. I am also told that a third country pilot used by the Indians is held hostage in Pakistan while the Indian one was returned with a friendly cup of tea.
From a pure military perspective, Pakistan Army is neither a weak nor a rogue force, right from the days of Zia Ul Haq when the Americans played funny with the F16s, Pakistan cozied up to China and other allies in the region and built for itself not only a strong air arsenal but also a nuclear one, falling perhaps short of enabling others with it too, however having the capability to do so, just as nuclear armed nations of the world have been and have done so as well to their “allies” hence the focus by some on “denuclearizing” Pakistan.
Bear in mind, Pakistan is a much smaller country than India, it is hence easier to defend, also homogeneity in Pakistan means, as per Sun Tzu, a niftier and well knit army – public trust and interaction. India is literally the opposite, huge landscape and mega issues in its ranks, caste, faith, language and interests, a divided nation is harder to protect and finds it harder to find the motivation needed to fight, as the end goals are hazy, confusion compounds diverse and even opposing regional interests. This is simply a strength from a military perspective i.e. smaller size and more or less uniform social fabric and motivation.
Textbook interpretation of Sun Tzu in this case points to a very different scenario than the one being portrayed to the world. Pakistan trying to avoid conflict while India having initially tried to pounce upon whilst defeated in almost all it’s endeavors is a sign of Pakistan’s unrevealed strong offensive capability. If indeed a war breaks out, it won’t be at the behest or diktats of the Indians, this is a simple inference from an analysis of how the political and military responses thereof as of the February and March 2019 unfolded.
A proof of this inference is India whimpering away from this conflict after a lot of overt provocation.
While deescalation of this politically motivated conflict appears to be the desire of Pakistani Army and Political leadership, but the Indians continuing with rhetoric and anti Muslim tightening in Kashmir which seems to upset Pakistan a lot, may act as a provocation to what might be the inevitable start of the 3rd, possibly nuclear, world war.
It also appears India is not alone in this conflict, it has active support of the Iranians, and surprisingly the stated arch enemy of Iranians i.e. you-know-who in this conflict. They would all like to play ball, but Pakistan with its strategic alliances is very well placed to act cold or hot start.
True resolution of this conflict asks for responsible Indians to unvote or dethrone a racist win/lose leadership and focus on resolving conflicts and issues, internal to India and externals as well, be it Kashmir, Sikhs, Muslim minorities or Hindu minorities, women’s safety from rapes, widespread crimes and poverty.
The writer hopes, despite his Sun Tzu based prediction of a war sooner than we think, that responsible Indians will nip provocation in the bud and work in a mutually beneficial way to attack common enemies of extremism, poverty and lawlessness.
Denuclearization of the world may someday be a reality, but it will need a sincere win/win effort by all parties concerned. As of now I see devious, envious and manipulative blocks, all spreading their version of falsehood and branding it as the “truth” – however, in the end, truth, for whatever it is or worth, prevails.
CrystalHeart Kazmi blahblah.info
Women of the World
A poem by CrystalHeart, founder WomenAreVotes.com
You were born into bondage
Even in this ‘new age’
Unequal you still remain
While the East clad you from head to toe
The West stripper you to your toes
Another asset you remain, used one way or another
You toiled at home for no gain
Often left unappreciated
And more often abused
You bore and raised children
Mother they called you
Grew up in your lap watching you take many a slap
You taught man what love is
But seldom felt the same in return
Objectified you remain
A man I am
Ashamed I am
Of how mine have treated thine
I shall rest in peace
The day you find your peace
As leaders of a world torn by mine
You must stand up
Unite in your own ranks
Shed the chains of slavery
And reclaim this planet
From usurping insensitive men
And lead us all to nirvana we deserve
March 8 was a day for you
It was just another day
For me every day is WOMEN’s day
غلامی میں پیدا
ھوا کی بیٹی
برابر تم نہیں
کسی نے سر سہ پیر تک ڈھانپا تمہیں
تو کسی نے پیروں تک عابر و کھینچی
بس استعمال ہوئ تم
گھر تم نے سنبھالا
دن رات محنت کی
لیکن تنخواہ آنسووں میں ملی
بچے تم پیدا کرو
ماں کہیں وہ تمہاری گود میں
اور تھپڑ کھاتے دیکھتے بڑے ہوں
مرد کو محبت تم نے سکھائ
لیکن بدلے میں تنہا رہی تم
بس ایک اساسہ
مرد ہوں میں
شرمندہ بھی تم سے
جو بدسلوکی ہم نے کی تم سے
سکون کا سانس لوں میں
جب تم کھڑی ہو ایک صف
اس دنیا کو ہم مردوں سے بہتر بنانے کو
۸ مارچ تمہارے نام تھا
بس ایک ڈھونگ تھا وہ
میرے لیے تو ہر دن تمہارا ہے
عمران کاظمی عرف کرسٹل ہارٹ بانی عورت کی آواز auratkiawaz.wordpress.com
the other side of the story
An odd look at the United Trump States of America
Now, we humans have heard numerous theories about America’s well-known President, Donald J. Trump. Well, I can assure you that you are about to hear another, so you might as well get prepared for it.
In my opinion, Mr Trump has no moral high ground – come to think of it, he never had any! Right from the start he intended and wanted to win, seeking victory, all the way to a tiptoe PotUS stalked by his own VP. So, you can be sure all this Michael Cohen business isn’t the first time this type of thing has occurred and, furthermore, not the last.
In his book, How to Get Rich, Trump summarized his life in just so many words:
I don’t do it for the money. I’ve got enough, much more than I’ll ever need. I do it to do it. Deals are my art form. Other people paint beautifully on canvas or write wonderful poetry. I like making deals, preferably big deals. That’s how I get my kicks.
Here is a man who is never embarrassed or ashamed of anything he is accused of, from women to racism, this man just kept going on and on. I can’t say I do not admire his will, but nevertheless he plainly said it WASN’T for the money so what is or was it for?
I am not like Trump, indeed I am his opposite in many ways, since I am an idealist, I see a utopia everywhere, I let my glance fall upon and sincerely hope to separate the best out of people and nations. Trump is in the here and now, a realist to the core if there ever was one, yet with a streak of a dreamer, a rather unconventional dreamer, socially and politically incorrect dreamer. I can not recall any President ANYWHERE in the world who has faced as much criticism before and during his tenure as this man has. Yet not only is he going strong, his reelection is perhaps a more likely possibility today then his dreary election back in 2017!
I think it all stacks down to realism. The democrats are acting rather like I would have in the situation, complaining about “rights & wrongs”, “could have”, “should have” and even “not have” in some cases.
Trump is on a different boat; he takes America like his personal empire. It’s “The United Trump States” after Trump Towers to him, as a realist he takes ownership of America no differently as he does of Mar-a-Lago resort. For example, he takes America’s security akin to that of his personal property, the Mexicans and South Americans coming in through a porous US border described in the CAIRCO article is precisely what he’s been talking about for long and as of now, doing. One may not ignore the fact that most nations of the world do build walls or fences to keep intruders out, just like you and I do outside the perimeter of our house.
Trump took North Korea and Iran like no American President ever did. He seems to have a knack for developing genuine relationships with those Americans consider adversaries or at best are wary off, Putin, Kim Jong-Un, Trump never says no to anyone who wants to sit on the table and work it out, rather like he confessed in his book: How to get rich: “Other people paint beautifully on canvas or write wonderful poetry. I like making deals.”
Which is what he seems to be busy doing all along, ignoring the naysayers and his detractors for he’s had them since time immemorial.
Will he make it? Will he end up making America safer, perhaps more unsafe due to the obvious polarization in America today. He is unpredictable and doesn’t fit any stereotype unlike any other in the limelight of oft. America’s right hand allies, Israel and the Jewish people are wary of him, while he garners a support base of white supremacists in general (or so it appears to his critics for I see many a rationalist supporting him too), his actions have defied their (KKK types) aspirations in the very least because at HEART Trump was and remains a TRUE DEMOCRAT – not a wolf in sheep’s clothing but an ACTUAL SHEEP DRESSED UP LIKE A WOLF!! Even if one speaks of immigration reforms, in my opinion, it has literally nothing to do with racism or supremacists, but simply a logical approach to immigrants most countries already have in place that America desperately needs.
If I speak the truth and NOTHING but the truth for no fear nor favor, I’d say he’s walking on uncharted territory, he has a genuine desire to make America great, to de escalate conflicts whether in Syria, Afghanistan, Indo-Pak or de nukes at NK or ex USSR, while holding on to his “empire” of Trump States of America, a neo protectionist liberal problem solver, or atleast a wannabe problem solver who challenged the moguls of foreign policy strategy. While Trump’s legacy will be remembered as the fallen white soldier by his proponents and the jerk off President by his opponents; America’s real adversaries, Putin, or Kim or many others would remember him with respect. A man who broke all stereotypes in dealing with them, for better or for worse, for only time can tell the impact of his actions.
For my part, I will remember Donald J. Trump as the man who dared to be himself in a world where every leader tries to wear the cloak of conformity. He may not strike the deals he dreams of but will be remembered for trying the impossible, as William F. O’ Brien wrote “Better to try and fail than never to try at all”
Naila Ansari (Jafri) is a veteran and an experienced saint-like drama writer from Pakistan who believes in being helpful then being competitive – an abundance mentality that has won her a name, accolades, awards and business despite no formal education in the field of drama writing
She has been writing since the early 1990s, the dawn of private TV channels in Pakistan, her first stint as a writer was with Combine, a firm owned by the legendary Ghazanfer Ali who directed the epic serial “Waris” – she wrote a set of unique and enticing short stories that were dramatized and telecast as “Mystery Theatre”
From then on there was no looking back, some of her more famous plays include Teri Raza, Istikhara, Naimat, Zard Bahar, Agar Tum Mil Jao and various others. Some of the channels that have played her dramas include ARY, Hum TV, NTM and others
Naila has also written documentaries and commercially oriented scripts, her flair for writing is a hard to find talent in today’s market of cliched and copy / paste writers
Naila is reachable on +92 321 4182049 and firstname.lastname@example.org
Interview with Mahwash on Teri Raza https://www.youtube.com/watch?reload=9&v=wu3YAOVU3pY
Drama Review Istikhara https://images.dawn.com/news/1177481
Drama Main Kaise Kahun IMDB https://www.imdb.com/title/tt7924440/?ref_=nm_knf_t1
Drama Naimat Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naimat
Drama Naimat Clip https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ctqf2tv2eJQ
Drama Naimat Review https://www.revolvy.com/page/Naimat
Drama Zard Bahar Review https://www.thenews.com.pk/magazine/instep-today/422022-mikaal-zulfiqar-on-his-upcoming-play
Drama Teri Raza Review https://www.somethinghaute.com/will-pakistani-plays-ever-shake-off-their-urdu-digest-fixation/
Drama Agar Tum Mil Jao https://www.arydigital.tv/videos/agar-tum-mil-jao-episode-01-ary-digital-drama/
Wordpress Blog https://nailaansari.wordpress.com/
By CrystalHeart Kazmi (Imran Owais)
Cell/Whatsapp +971 55 8094119
The writer believes in taking sides, that of the truth, not of his faith or motherland. Because the first casualty in hatred, even before a single drop of blood is shed, is the truth… to some, this writeup may appear skewed in Pakistan’s favor, but trust me, it isn’t. It is no more than the plain and obvious truth. I have touched upon weaknesses of both sides, more on India’s because I see them that way, not because India isn’t my country, but only because I do see gaffes and mistakes being made and as a sincere friend to Indians consider it my duty to apprise them of the same.
Pulwama – pulling to war
Instead of blood red roses, Valentines’ day 2019 came with a bloody surprise for India: Pulwama attacks in Indian Kashmir, where 40 Indian CRPF (Central Reserve Police Force) were killed / martyred in a vehicle based suicide bomb attack. In no time, India apportioned the blame on a Pakistan based organization called Jaish-e-Mohammed (JeM) which according to the Indians was behind the cowardly attack. This was the Indian version of the story. The Pakistani version as spelt out by the PM and DG ISPR is one of disillusionment and anger at being labelled for a crime without proof, and even aroused to war.
The division of hearts
August 14, 1947 divided India into two parts – Hindu dominated India and Muslim dominated Pakistan, though ironically an equal amount of Muslims as in Pakistan reside in India too. Never in the history of mankind has a nation been divided on the basis of faith. But here we are, literally divided since 1947. This division has cost people their rationality on both sides to varying extents. Anti India rhetoric is as popular in Pakistan as are anti Pakistan chants in India. It comes across as an apocalyptical blood sports of sorts, where apparently sane and educated men and women hurle verbal tirades for the most incomprehensible reasons. After all Hindus and Muslims lived more or less happily together for more than 700 years – and while the advent of the British did teach them table manners, English and perhaps a different outlook on life then making expensive and expansive tombs of their rulers’ lovers.
The British, as they hurriedly left much of Asia and Africa post World War 2, did so sowing the seeds of hatred between a people who were in the balance living harmoniously for centuries despite differences in faith and cultures.
Aftermath of Independence
While Pakistan became an “Islamic Republic” post General Zia’s rule, India claimed secularism oft refuted by the likes of Gujarat Violence of 2002 and lately Cow Vigilantes – ironically both supported by India’s current Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, who to his credit favored decentralisation in governance, though his development effort was skewed in favor of his vote bank in Gujarat than equitably across India.
Modi’s position is rigid on the long standing Kashmir Conflict to which India never agreed to the UN’s proposed solution of a plebiscite – which is the core of the matter. Denying a people the will to decide their future will certainly cause rifts between the rulers and the ruled, a rather short story of Kashmir. No doubt Pakistanis support Kashmir with its roots in the impartially recognized pro Pakistan sentiments in Indian Kashmir, which has more to do with cultural and ethnic bonding then religion alone.
For had religion been the driving factor, Pakistan would have had a very different treatment record with the the then East Pakistan now Bangladesh, or the Mohajirs of Karachi who claimed alienation, the dissatisfaction in Balochistan, KPK and even Southern Punjab – seething internal issues with fellow Muslims.
Similarly in India, the assassination of their late PM Indira Gandhi was a clear sign of the strength of the Khalistan movement, many say that BJP’s weakest link is in the huge South of India! Thus by any magnitude India faces more intense and diverse structural integrity issues, purely due it’s four times larger size, than Pakistan does and also due rigidity in even accepting problems. For unlike India, Pakistan government and military addressed the grievances of the people in Karachi, Balochistan and KPK. India seems to hide it’s head in the sand when it comes to Kashmir or Khalistan, to no avail, and the real reason behind unrest in those areas.
Independence has also given rise to toxic nationalism and fundamentalism on both sides. Pakistan, to it’s fair credit, after the Afghan War with partners in the US and the MidEast, plunged deep into extremism of all sorts, however, post General Musharraf, all COAS’s have primarily fought and largely uprooted at least the militant wings of extremism at a huge loss of life to the army and LEAs’ – in contrast India, as described above, is not even battling Cow Vigilantes or Hindu Extremists, whether in Gujrat, UP or Kashmir or other places at any level! Hindu extremism or Saffron Terror seems to be en vogue in BJP’s india.
India today is perhaps comparable to Pakistan of the 80s – while fundamentalism rose unchecked, and the state legitimized it.
Pakistan, though not officially secular, can boast of fair and reasonable minded Army Generals like the much admired General Tariq Khan who was behind the strategic and tactical annihilation of Taliban along with his worthy fellows like General Kayani, General Raheel Sharif and the current Chief Gen Bajwa, they all favored rationality over “blind faith” a telling lesson perhaps for the Indians in handling unchecked extremism at home. By leaving the “Hindu” cap at home, just like our Generals left the “Muslim” cap at their homes and fought like good soldiers any who spread hatred or weakened the writ of fair governance in the name of religion.
More real than faith – Poverty
India ranks 103/119 on the Global Hunger Index while Pakistan is 3 notches lower at 106. Officially almost half the population is at or below the minimum subsistence level of poverty, unofficially, 98% of India and Pakistan lead a life that will send shivers down the spine of any developed country’s national.
Thus today both nations are at loggerheads with each other, name calling and blaming has been the order of the day and after Pulwama, there is every likelihood of a bloody war that will ultimately leave the impoverished masses relieved of a meaningless existence.
While India is gung ho in war fever, from tomato wars, to venomous remarks which they swiftly throw back at Pakistan – I would, as a fair and reasonable person above all, state that Imran Khan, the charismatic sportsman and sporty Prime Minister of Pakistan and General Asif Ghafoor, DG ISPR both have clearly resonated two messages, first, that if India provides proof, they would act on the Pulwama murders, and in fact they have even, without India’s cooperation, in the larger regional anti terror interest taken recent action against JeM, and they also want resolution of the outstanding Kashmir issue; the second message is that any aggression by India will not be tolerated by the smaller neighbor but replied with ingenuity, which leaves one’s imagination to “all options on the table” scenario – which could, in turn, mean our worst fears come true of two nuclear capable nations going to war! In contrast one sees abuse on the rise against Muslims in India today, in and outside Indian Kashmir.
I sincerely and earnestly see the need for Indian leadership introspection, Mr Modi, a strong nationalist, may inspire the average, poor and illiterate Indian to emotions and anger, may even win a re election, but at what cost and risk? If a war indeed breaks out over Pulwama, it will be the 98% poor on both sides who will suffer immeasurably. Their lives are miserable as we speak, their deaths will remind us of the Holocaust, Hiroshima, Nagasaki or the Bubonic Plague.
There are far too many good people in India, and now is the time for them to raise their voice, the Sikhs are speaking out, so should saints like Sri Sri Ravi Shankar of the Art of Living and the common man and woman in India.
The Clouds of War over India and Pakistan are filled with blood, our, the people’s blood, we may be Hindus or Muslims, Christians or Buddhists, Sikhs or Atheists, Gay or Straight, whatever, whoever, we are, our ends will be a despicable and sad chapter in the exploits of humanity against one another. This is the time for unity in peace than in a stark raving mad desire for bloodshed.
A fair view, about the writer
Born to parents whose home was India, UP / Allahabad for my dad and Lucknow for my mother, both migrated and settled in Pakistan, and taught me loyalty to my motherland.
Yet, as I grew up, I am proud to state that above all, I am a fair and reasonable global citizen who was born in a Muslim household in Pakistan – but can easily identify with any good human being, anywhere in the world. However, I have, to the best of my abilities always fought for and upheld the truth then nationalism or religious affiliation.
The truth requires us to see both sides of the situation. Today, when people write about India and Pakistan, they invariably take sides based on their own country of residence, and if someone criticises their government they are automatically labelled “traitors” – and to be fair, some of them may be free and open thinkers, and some may have preferred financial or other gratifications to pursue the “enemy’s cause at home.”
However, between these two extremes of nationalistic zealots who unthinkingly, perhaps some even unknowingly and absolutely insensitively spread hate (as beautifully depicted in Delhi 6, Rang de Basanti and Rajneeti and sometimes with more hatred as at Agent Vinod or Naam Shabana where the fire of division is given more fuel) one finds between these two extremes a small group of rationalists and logical thinkers who tend to see beyond the obvious hate and disdain, into common cultural bonds and a combined positive legacy of coexistence spanning several centuries.
I have formed political parties for the poor of the world, GadhaParty and for the fairer sex, WomenAreVotes and frequently speak on motivation, good (lean) governance, fair law and order, end to religious extremism, peace and anti any form of hatred, at the Rotary Clubs – and all over the world to individuals or groups, in person or on any media. I am not just another talker or writer, I walk my words on the fine line of accountability.
By CrystalHeart Kazmi (Imran Owais)
Cell/Whatsapp +971 55 8094119